DATA FOUNDRY · PREDICTION MARKETS
Semantic probability matching and resolution rule research.
Research and bespoke data collection comparing equivalent prediction market questions across venues. Maps subtle differences in resolution verbiage and archives resolution evidence manifests.
COMMERCIAL ACCESS
Verified Parquet archives + Claude MCP integration
- ✓ Verified Data Foundry Parquet partitions (zstd)
- ✓ Model Context Protocol (MCP) tool integration
- ✓ Metering: Bespoke Scoping
- ✓ Deterministic quality gate & hash verification
- ✓ Contractual commercial rights clearance
Quotes reviewed by systems engineering within 1 business day
COLUMN SPECIFICATIONS
Typed relational schema.
Columnar Parquet & DuckDB ready.
| Column Name | Data Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
event_id |
VARCHAR(64) | Normalized event identifier |
venue |
VARCHAR(32) | Market venue |
implied_probability |
FLOAT | Reported outcome probability |
resolution_rule |
TEXT | Verbatim contract resolution criteria |
SYSTEM STATUS & CAPABILITY BOUNDARIES
Engineering reality.
Verified operational features vs planned protocol capabilities.
Verified Operational Today
- ✓ Apache Parquet Partitions: Columnar archives (Zstandard compressed) with typed relational schemas.
- ✓ Zero-Copy Local Analytics: In-memory SQL exploration via DuckDB, Python Polars, and Arrow.
- ✓ Cryptographic Deduplication: SHA-256 release manifests and seen-keys ledger preventing record drift.
- ✓ Statutory Rights Clearance: 100% license-cleared provenance with statutory citations.
- ✓ Technical Quote Intake: Systems engineering review and schema sample verification.
Pilot & In-Specification Capabilities
- ◌ Remote MCP Streaming Adapter:
foundry_query_prediction_researchtool endpoint available under enterprise pilot agreements. - ◌ Automated Micro-Settlement: Agent-to-agent procurement and escrow via EXCHANGER (active protocol specification).
- ◌ Multi-Region Edge Replicas: Global Cloudflare R2 bucket replication currently in private validation.
VERIFIED SAMPLE RECORD
Inspect the raw payload.
Zero mocked fields.
{
"event_id": "RATE_CUT_2026",
"venue_a": "Polymarket",
"prob_a": 0.68,
"venue_b": "Kalshi",
"prob_b": 0.656,
"rule_divergence_flag": "Timing cutoff difference noted"
}
AGENT INTERFACE & MCP TOOL CONTRACT
Plug directly into Claude Code, Codex, and autonomous workflows.
Deterministic data retrieval.
Machine-Readable Contract
Direct dataset extraction is delivered via high-throughput columnar Apache Parquet. For autonomous assistants, ELYRAON provides standard Model Context Protocol (MCP) tool schemas and REST integration adapters with signed SHA-256 integrity receipts.
Adapter identifier: foundry_query_prediction_research
Pricing status: Bespoke Scoping
Active MCP Endpoint: https://elyraon.com.co/agents/mcp (Host to live structural verification tools; metered dataset adapters available in scoped pilots).
{"tool": "foundry_query_prediction_research", "arguments": {"event_topic": "interest_rates"}}
MACHINE-READABLE SPECIFICATIONS
Structured metadata for autonomous agents.
Zero scrapers, zero hallucinations.
{
"entity_id": "https://elyraon.com.co/datasets/cross-venue-prediction-market-data/#dataset",
"catalog_id": "https://elyraon.com.co/datasets/#catalog",
"canonical_url": "https://elyraon.com.co/datasets/cross-venue-prediction-market-data/",
"primary_format": "application/vnd.apache.parquet",
"compression": "zstd",
"ingestion_pipeline": "crypto_markets.py",
"mcp_tool_name": "foundry_query_prediction_research",
"license": "Commercial Research & Quant Desk License",
"duckdb_quickstart": "SELECT * FROM read_parquet('cross-venue-prediction-market-data.parquet') LIMIT 5;"
}
WHY ELYRAON DATA FOUNDRY
Architectural contrast.
Built for engineering reality.
Focuses on underlying legal resolution texts and oracle discrepancies that cause catastrophic trade losses.
Conventional Data Feeds
- Undetected socket drops during volatility
- Messy unstructured CSV/JSON with broken parsers
- Ambiguous copyright terms creating lawsuit liability
- Expensive multi-thousand dollar rigid contracts
ELYRAON Data Foundry
- Continuous quality gate reconciliation
- Clean, typed, content-addressed Apache Parquet
- 100% license-cleared provenance with statutory citations
- Clear request-quote pricing and cryptographic delivery verification
RELATED DATASETS & AGENT PLATFORM
Connected intelligence feeds.
Cross-domain discovery and autonomous infrastructure.
TECHNICAL FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Clear answers.
Engineering boundaries.
Is this an off-the-shelf tick feed?
No. This is a research and custom scoping service mapping contract equivalence and resolution rules.
Are HIP-4 Hyperliquid markets supported?
HIP-4 outcome templates are studied for research; raw proprietary feeds are not redistributed.
Do you store resolution evidence?
Yes. Timestamped archive snapshots of referenced news and official statements are stored.
How are projects priced?
Scoped on a bespoke basis depending on target events and monitoring depth.
How do I request a quote?
Submit an inquiry with your trading desk's requirements.